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Soft market to hurt Interop?

Interop convenes next week under the pall of soft US enterprise spending and the resultant drag on network financials.

Juniper is the latest to feel the weight of the sluggish market. The company just posted a solid quarter that exceeded Wall Street expectations, but it was due mostly to sales to service providers. Juniper's Service Layer Technology group, comprised mostly of enterprise products like the NetScreen VPN gear, was down 9% sequentially due especially to softness in federal government sales.

Extreme, meanwhile, was downgraded by JMP Securities this week after posting a disappointing fiscal third quarter. Extreme blamed the miss on customers delaying purchases.

Extreme's downgrade follows those of Cisco and Foundry earlier this month, again based on weak spending among US enterprises.

IT spending has already reached recessionary levels, according to research firm ChangeWave. A ChangeWave survey of 2,013 officials in charge of IT spending at their organizations found that 23% expect their company’s spending to decrease in the second quarter of 2008, while 15% expect it to increase. Last year, the firm found that 32% expected an increase while 12 % expected a decrease.

ChangeWave says this is the first time since August 2001 that one of its surveys – taken at the mid-point of each quarter – projected negative spending growth in IT.

“We knew that things were really moving into a bad place several quarters ago,” says Paul Carton, research director at ChangeWave. “But it actually turned negative (in) February.”

So don't be surprised of Interop exhibitors and attendees are not exactly in the party mood next week in Vegas.

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The Cisco Subnet blog is the official blog of the Network World Cisco Subnet community, managed by Editor Linda Leung. Cisco Subnet is the independent voice of Cisco customers and is your gateway to daily Cisco news, blogs, opinion, books, prize giveaways and more. Visit the Cisco Subnet home page daily and while you are there, subscribe to the Cisco Alert e-mail newsletter, which includes news and views generated by the Cisco Subnet community as well as Cisco-related stories on Network World and elsewhere on the Web.

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